Titan Sub Disaster: Ignored Warnings Exposed in Leaked Documents Reveal a Pattern of Danger

Lifestyle Travel World News
Titan Sub Disaster: Ignored Warnings Exposed in Leaked Documents Reveal a Pattern of Danger
OceanGate Titan submersible
File:Titan (modélisation sketchup – twilight render – Gimp).jpg – Wikimedia Commons, Photo by wikimedia.org, is licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0

The tragic implosion of the OceanGate Titan submersible two years ago, which claimed the lives of all five individuals on board, sent shockwaves across the globe, sharply highlighting the significant dangers inherent in deep-sea exploration.

Now, an exclusive look into tens of thousands of internal OceanGate emails, documents, and photographs, along with interviews with former employees and third-party suppliers, reveals a disturbing inside story. These materials, provided exclusively to WIRED by anonymous sources, paint a picture of a company culture where safety concerns were repeatedly raised by engineers and experts but were often dismissed or ignored by OceanGate CEO Stockton Rush.

Stockton Rush, a visionary co-founder of OceanGate established in 2009, aimed to revolutionize commercial and research expeditions to the ocean floor, moving beyond his initial aspiration of reaching Mars. He passionately believed the ocean was the ultimate frontier, teeming with undiscovered life, and his driving ambition was to ‘move the needle’ in ocean exploration.

OceanGate submersibles
File:Cyclops 1 Submersible.jpg – Wikimedia Commons, Photo by wikimedia.org, is licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0

Initially, OceanGate utilized conventional steel-hulled submersibles, but by 2013, Rush began developing a groundbreaking manned submersible named Cyclops 2. This innovative vessel featured a lightweight carbon fiber hull, intended to accommodate more passengers and reach unprecedented depths far beyond existing submarine capabilities.

Rush’s ultimate objective for the submersible, later christened Titan, was to transport paying passengers to the famous wreck of the Titanic, situated 3,800 meters beneath the ocean’s surface. At such extreme depths, the surrounding water exerts immense pressure, approximately 6,500 pounds per square inch (psi), a stark contrast to the 14.7 psi experienced at sea level.

Testing the innovative design was crucial, and scale models were built for pressure testing. On the afternoon of July 7, 2016, a three-foot-long scale model of Cyclops 2 was being tested in a high-pressure facility at the University of Washington in Seattle. Water was pumped in, steadily increasing the pressure to mimic a dive.

pressure gauge 6,500 psi
The ‘Titan’ Submersible Disaster Was Years in the Making, New Details Reveal | Vanity Fair, Photo by vanityfair.com, is licensed under CC BY 4.0

Around the 73-minute mark of the dive, as the pressure gauge registered 6,500 psi, mirroring the pressure at the Titanic’s resting depth, a sudden and violent roaring sound was heard, accompanied by a jarring shudder of the vessel.

“I felt it in my body,” one OceanGate employee wrote in an email that night, describing the event. “The building rocked, and my ears rang for a long time.” He added, “Scared the shit out of everyone.”

The model had imploded at a depth equivalent to the Titanic, thousands of meters short of the safety margin OceanGate had designed for. In the high-stakes world of crewed submersibles, such a failure would typically send engineering teams back to the drawing board.

However, the exclusive documents and interviews reveal that Rush’s company did not take this step. Instead, within months of the implosion, OceanGate began building a full-scale Cyclops 2 based on the design of the imploded model. This full-sized vessel, the Titan, would go on to successfully reach the Titanic in 2021 and return for expeditions in 2022 before its fatal dive.

Carbon fiber is indeed a strong material, often stronger and lighter than titanium, making it attractive for engineering applications like aerospace. However, engineers Mark Negley and William Koch of Boeing Research & Technology, who produced a preliminary design report for OceanGate in October 2013, highlighted specific challenges for deep-sea applications.

They pointed out that carbon fiber can weaken progressively, sometimes unexpectedly, and the manufacturing process itself can introduce defects that compromise its strength. The risk of such defects increases with the number of layers used; Titan’s hull would ultimately have 660 layers.

To mitigate these risks, the Boeing engineers recommended rigorous quality assurance during manufacturing and subsequent ultrasound testing of the hull to detect defects or delaminations. This advice, detailed in their 70-page report, appears to have been a crucial early warning.

scale model carbon fiber hull testing
Titan submersible implosion: A haunting final message and other takeaways from the Coast Guard, Photo by cnn.com, is licensed under CC Zero

Early tests conducted on scale models of the carbon fiber hull components revealed alarming issues. Specifically, a one-third scale model equipped with carbon fiber end domes catastrophically failed at pressures equivalent to approximately 3,000 meters in June 2015. Although the cylindrical section performed better with solid aluminum ends, subsequent tests in March 2016 using new carbon fiber domes again resulted in implosion at the same 3,000-meter depth.

The fourth scale model test, the one that caused such alarm, reached 4,500 meters before imploding with aluminum caps. This test gave the design a meager 1.18 safety factor for dives to Titanic depths of 3,800 meters. James Cameron’s Deepsea Challenger had a safety factor of 1.36, and the submersible Alvin, which originally explored the Titanic, had 1.8 or higher.

Despite the clear evidence that the model design failed well below the intended operational depth and lacked an adequate safety margin, Rush informed shareholders that the company would analyze the data and conduct tests on a new cylinder through at least 1,000 cycles to verify its durability. However, former employees revealed to WIRED that this replacement scale model was never constructed, and the planned durability tests were never carried out, largely because Rush placed his trust in OceanGate’s proprietary computer models.

The final Titan design incorporated titanium end domes, a change from the tested carbon fiber domes. However, a former employee familiar with Rush’s decision said the CEO balked at the cost of commissioning models to test the interaction between the new materials, relying instead on analysis.

Reflecting on this approach, a former employee commented, ‘The modeling says it’s OK. The analysis says it’s OK.’ They further elaborated, ‘We build airplanes on the same type of analysis and then we go throw people in them.’ It’s crucial to note, however, that experts point out carbon fiber behaves very differently under external high pressure, as experienced underwater, compared to internal high pressure, such as within an aircraft cabin, making its use in submersibles particularly perilous.

Submersible experts outside OceanGate stressed the need for extensive testing on new designs. Adam Wright, who worked on a carbon-fiber sub for explorer Steve Fossett, stated, “We did at least 10 scale-model pressure hulls that we tested to destruction.” OceanGate, by contrast, tested its model hull to destruction only once and didn’t test the final configuration with titanium components.

sudden increase in pressure vessel
Submarine Titan ignored “vulnerability alerts,” just like the Titanic did 121 years ago | Marca, Photo by Marca, is licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0

Chase Hogoboom, president of Composite Energy Technologies, confirmed carbon fiber is a viable material but requires significant investment in engineering and manufacturing controls over many years. He noted, “It takes millions of dollars and many years, but it’s not rocket science. It’s just connecting the dots.” Despite this, OceanGate engineers later found the full-size Titan hull was too thick for portable ultrasound scanners, and a coating applied by the manufacturer further blocked signals. A former employee said Rush decided moving the sub to a lab for scanning was too expensive, resulting in no scans being made, contrary to the advice of Boeing and OceanGate engineers.

Further warnings arose concerning the Titan’s viewport. It was a new design by OceanGate’s director of engineering and manufactured by Hydrospace Group. Will Kohnen, Hydrospace CEO, expected thorough testing according to rigorous standards like those set by the American Society of Mechanical Engineers, which involve testing multiple windows to destruction, cycling under pressure, and long-duration stress tests.

“The more innovative you get, the more testing you’ve got to do,” Kohnen said. He grew concerned in late 2017, telling WIRED, “Over a period of years, it was pretty obvious that OceanGate wasn’t going to do the testing.” Former OceanGate employees corroborated that the viewport was not tested to ASME standards.

In November 2017, as a final attempt, Kohnen emailed Rush offering a significant discount on a second viewport using a design certified to 4,000 meters, which could be swapped out quickly. Rush told him he wasn’t interested.

When Hydrospace delivered OceanGate’s viewport in December 2017, Kohnen rated it for only 650 meters – just one-sixth of the depth required for the Titanic. He also shared an analysis by an independent expert suggesting the design might fail after only a few dives to 4,000 meters. Despite this, OceanGate installed the viewport and advertised its first Titanic expedition scheduled for the following May.

Internal alarms were also sounding. In January 2018, David Lochridge, OceanGate’s director of marine operations, felt the Titan was unsafe. He sent Rush a quality-control report detailing 27 issues, including concerns about the carbon-fiber hull and questionable seals and components. Rush fired him the next day.

Lochridge later filed a whistleblower report, but Rush sued him, resulting in a settlement where Lochridge dropped his complaint and signed an NDA. The pattern of dismissing internal dissent was evident in OceanGate’s culture, where employees who questioned the rapid pace or decisions were sometimes dismissed as overly cautious or even fired.

standing on the rear bulkhead
Everett-built OceanGate Titan carrying five people disappears in the North Atlantic on June 18, 2023, Photo by HistoryLink.org, is licensed under PDM 1.0

The concerns extended across the industry. Will Kohnen remembers thinking, “We have a rogue element within the submersible industry,” fearing that a failure could negatively impact deep-sea exploration broadly. In March 2018, he drafted a letter, signed by over 30 crewed submersible experts, urging Rush to seek testing and certification from an accredited outside group like DNV or the American Bureau of Shipping.

While it has been widely reported that Rush dismissed such certification, the documents reveal OceanGate *did* pursue certification with DNV in 2017 until Rush learned the estimated cost of around $50,000. In an email, Rush wrote he had “grown tired of industry players who try to use a safety argument to stop innovation,” stating, “Since [starting] OceanGate we have heard the baseless cries of ‘you are going to kill someone’ way too often.”

Perhaps the most chilling warning came on March 30, 2018, in an email from Boeing’s Mark Negley, who had remained in contact with Rush. Having analyzed the Spencer Composites hull based on information from Rush, Negley did not mince words. He wrote, “We think you are at a high risk of a significant failure at or before you reach 4,000 meters. We do not think you have any safety margin.”

In a clear warning, Negley advised Rush to ‘Be cautious and careful’ and provided a graph illustrating the strain on the submersible relative to depth, which dramatically featured a skull and crossbones symbol in the region below 4,000 meters, serving as a stark visual warning of the potential for catastrophic failure at the extreme depths of the Titanic.

Rush, however, seemed largely unfazed by these repeated warnings. His confidence was reportedly bolstered by a real-time health monitoring system designed by engineer Mike Furlotti, intended to detect the sounds of carbon fibers breaking under compression.

OceanGate’s theory was that the hull would be noisy initially but quiet down over repeated dives to the same depth, with increased noise indicating a need to surface immediately. However, industry experts were highly skeptical. Adam Wright noted the system’s uncertainty: “you just don’t know when the end point is,” adding, “You don’t know how many pops is too many, and it could be different for every vessel.”

Internal concerns about the system’s accuracy in tracking fiber breakage were also raised by an engineer in September 2017. While an outside consultant endorsed the system in 2018, he later expressed concern when Rush publicly claimed it could detect “micro-buckling” “way before it fails,” suggesting the CEO was overstating its capabilities.

Titan's tragic end
OceanGate Founder Crashed a Submersible Years Before Titan Disaster – The New York Times, Photo by static01.nyt.com, is licensed under CC Zero

This extensive collection of documents and interviews unequivocally exposes a pattern where ambition and cost-cutting measures took precedence over established safety protocols and the warnings of experts. From constructing a full-scale vessel based on a model that imploded significantly short of its target depth, to disregarding concerns regarding manufacturing flaws, inadequate testing standards, viewport integrity, and fundamental hull strength, the sequence of events leading to the Titan’s tragic fate appears, in hindsight, to be marked by numerous missed opportunities to avert the disaster.

Leave a Reply

Scroll to top